Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.62	3.29	1.95
	3.84	3.37	2.02
	3.83	3.07	2.04	Watch
	3.71	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.28)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
24.9%

Draw
28.2%

Erzurumspor
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.1%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Demir I. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 35. Isciler B. 3. Terzi E. 10. Amaral J. 45. Tunali M. 58. Asan B. 7. Berkovsky I. 79. Altiparmak G.	31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 99. Fettahoglu M. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
33. Akkan G. 89. Celenk E. 19. Cetin S. 20. Dilli S. 34. Ersu E. (G) 11. Karadeniz G. 70. Ozcan S. 9. Sadygov I. 16. Sen K. 25. Yuran A.	11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 83. Onal M. 65. Rodriguez M. 7. Sever I. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.
Coaches
Yuran S.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Gotsuk K. 🟨,
22', Tunali M. ↓, Dilli S. ↑,
35', Ceylan B. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Terzi E. ⚽, Amaral J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Crociata G. ⚽, Fettahoglu M. (A),
65', Sen K. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
65', Amaral J. ↓, Celenk E. ↑,
67', Dilli S. 🟨,
70', Terzi E. 🟨,
73', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
77', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
78', Akgun S. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
90', Dilli S. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
90', Terzi E. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
90+3', Martynov A. 🟨,
90+3', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In recent matches, Serik Belediyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erzurumspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Erzurumspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B. (Inactive) Kok D. (Inactive) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
23.09.25	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Igdirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bodrumspor	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Erokspor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWLL
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
24.09.25	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
15.09.25	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Sarıyer - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Erzurumspor - Pendikspor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWT

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