Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Serpa		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.4	4.7
	1.85	3.11	4.21
				Watch
	1.79	3.24	4.33
	1.68	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	3.29 ↓ (3.75)	4.47 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
52.2%

Draw
27.5%

Fabril do Barreiro
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Cruz F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Serpa	0:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	São João de Ver - Serpa	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Serpa - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Barreirense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Moura - Serpa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTTW
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.09.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Moura	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lajense - Fabril do Barreiro	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Amora - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Lagoa	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
21.01.24	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
03.09.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0
25.09.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	2:1

Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide