The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sertãozinho 25.8%
Draw 28%
Rio Claro 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
28.2%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
20.5%
56.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertãozinho's form might have worsened.
Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Claro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Claro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sertãozinho - Rio Claro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs)).
Sertãozinho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Rio Claro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Rio Claro is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.