Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 6

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Sertãozinho		Matonense

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.25	17
	1.25	4.33	10
	1.14	6.1	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.45)	5.23 ↑ (4.2)	14.67 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
76.4%

Draw
17.4%

Matonense
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

15.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sertãozinho's performance.

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-31.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertãozinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Sertãozinho is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matonense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sertãozinho is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sertãozinho - União São João	4:1 ✺
31.01.24	Votuporanguense - Sertãozinho	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	EC São Bernardo - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Sertãozinho - União Suzano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTL
- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - Matonense	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Matonense - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	União Suzano - Matonense	5:2 ✺
28.01.24	Matonense - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Matonense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Sertãozinho - Matonense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide