Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Serverense		Portmany

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Serverense
26.2%

Draw
27.5%

Portmany
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.1%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.2%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serverense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Portmany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serverense than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serverense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portmany could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Serverense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portmany is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Serverense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portmany will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Serverense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.12.21	Constancia - Serverense	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Serverense - Inter Ibiza	0:3 ✺
08.12.21	Campos - Serverense	0:0 ✺
03.12.21	Serverense - Felanitx	3:2 ✺
27.11.21	Manacor - Serverense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWL
- SD Portmany
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.12.21	Portmany - Collerense	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Constancia - Portmany	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Portmany - Inter Ibiza	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Campos - Portmany	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Portmany - Felanitx	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTWW

Serverense - Portmany