Match Info

SPAIN: Copa Federacion - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6
	1.51	3.45	6.41
	1.52	3.51	6.82	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.51	3.5	6.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.49 ↑ (3.32)	6.47 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
60.2%

Draw
25.8%

Calahorra
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sestao - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
113', Javi Bueno 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Sestao is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calahorra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sestao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Calahorra have a series of home games.

In this match Sestao is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.09.24	Sestao - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Real Sociedad B - Sestao	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Sestao - Lugo	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Sestao - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTT
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.09.24	Calahorra - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Calahorra	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Calahorra - SD Logroñés	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.24	Calahorra - Numancia	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Calahorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTT

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