Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.05	8.8
	1.34	4.41	10.34
	1.40	4.33	7.45	Watch
	1.35	4.05	10.6
	1.3	4.9	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	4.35 ↓ (4.5)	9.26 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
68.8%

Draw
21.3%

Náxara
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Sestao - Náxara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Sestao is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Náxara is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Náxara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sestao has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sestao is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Sestao will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sestao - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alfaro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Noja - Sestao	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.09.25	Náxara - Gernika	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés - Náxara	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Náxara - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	UD Logroñés - Náxara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.04.22	Sestao - Náxara	2:0
14.11.21	Náxara - Sestao	2:1

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