Match Info

Prva NL - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion ŠRC Sesvete (Sesvete) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	15:00	Hajduk TV, MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2


	Sesvete		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.20	3.00	2.90
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.65	3.06	2.69
	2.21	3.07	3.18	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.57	3.26	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.77 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sesvete
37.4%

Draw
29.8%

Jadran Luka Ploče
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sesvete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sesvete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sesvete will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jadran Luka Ploče will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ziger K. (G) 4. Agic T. (C) 9. Akanni S. 8. Barnabas M. 20. Brajkovic R. 6. Gasparac M. 13. Kostelac P. 14. Masala R. 11. Pejic I. 19. Ravlic D. 18. Utrobicic A.	1. Kesina I. (G) 19. Herceg T. 6. Karacic D. 10. Maric M. 9. Maric N. (C) 11. Matanovic L. 2. Miletic L. 16. Milicevic I. 77. Petrovic L. 5. Silic R. 23. Zrnic P.
Substitutes
17. Cacic A. 23. Gorupec T. 25. Huskic A. 21. Jakovljevic V. 7. Kanceljak M. 28. Olic L. 29. Petkovski P. 27. Severec F. 26. Suskovic T. (G)	17. Antunovic K. 80. Bartulic J. (G) 24. Erceg S. 14. Granic K. 7. Peric A. 20. Rodin N. 74. Spahic E. 4. Taslak K. 47. Zilic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Zrnic P. 🟥,
37', Brajkovic R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Petrovic L. ↓, Spahic E. ↑,
46', Milicevic I. ↓, Peric A. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Ravlic D. ⚽,
59', Ravlic D. ↓, Cacic A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Karacic D. ⚽,
65', Agic T. 🟨,
65', Ziger K. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - HNL).

Sesvete has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jadran Luka Ploče is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sesvete has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sesvete against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17:13	4	16
12	Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10:10	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sesvete - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
27.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Sesvete - Cibalia	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dinamo II Zagreb - Sesvete	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sesvete - Segesta	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Sesvete	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Prva NL
26.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Orijent	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
04.03.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Sesvete	1:1
26.08.22	Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:1

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