Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Sesvete		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.00
	2.15	3.05	3.00
	2.08	3.10	2.90
	2.2	3.2	3.07	Watch
	2.18	3.13	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sesvete
41.5%

Draw
28.7%

Jadran Luka Ploče
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sesvete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - HNL).

In recent outings, Sesvete has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jadran Luka Ploče shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sesvete holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sesvete has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sesvete against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jadran LP	7	4	2	1	12:7	5	14
7	Sesvete	7	3	0	4	9:8	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sesvete - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
27.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Sesvete - Cibalia	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dinamo II Zagreb - Sesvete	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sesvete - Segesta	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Sesvete	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Prva NL
26.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Orijent	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
04.03.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Sesvete	1:1
26.08.22	Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:1

Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide