Match Info
Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finalsDate: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal) 🌤️ ...
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 |
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Setúbal |
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União da Serra |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.00 |
3.50 |
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 |
2.10 |
2.95 |
3.30 |
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 |
2.25 |
2.85 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.09 |
3.16 |
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 |
2.13 |
3.18 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.11 |
3.05 |
3.05 |
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 |
2.12 |
3.10 |
3.62 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.15 |
3.50 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (3.15) |
3.05 ↓ (3.26) |
3.32 ↑ (2.14) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Setúbal 42.7% | Draw 29.9% | União da Serra 27.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União da Serra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Setúbal - União da Serra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Pereira M. ⚽,
- 41', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Delgado J. ↓, dos Santos B. ↑,
- 46', Pala F. ↓, Geraldo R. ↑,
- 47', Mani 🟨,
- 62', Teixeira G. ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Ze Mario ⚽,
- 66', Justino G. T. F. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
- 66', Costa W. ↓, Vieirinha ↑,
- 73', Costa J. 🟨,
- 81', Nabais I. ↓, Gameiro D. ↑,
- 87', Alves I. ↓, Frazier E. ↑,
- 90+2', Piedade T. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Faustino P. ↓, Justino G. T. F. ↑,
- 95', Amaral C. ↓, Lima U. ↑,
- 95', Djalo C. ↓, Chima J. ↑,
- 97', Mani ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 101', Frazier E. 🟨,
- 105+5', Isaias G. 🟨,
- 106', Geraldo R. 🟨,
- 118', Castro B. 🟨,
- 119', Isaias G. ↓, Ribeiro G. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
União da Serra shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins). A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Setúbal holding a narrow advantage. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.