PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 5
Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday
Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)
Setúbal
Imortal
1
X
2
1.35
4.5
7.2
1.37
4.5
6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.36 ↑ (1.33)
4.5 (4.5)
7 ↓ (7.56)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Setúbal 66.8%
Draw 20.2%
Imortal 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
20%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
18.8%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Imortal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Setúbal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Relegation).
Setúbal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Imortal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Imortal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Setúbal is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Setúbal to win the game is with odds 1.36.
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