Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Sevilla FC TV


	Sevilla C		Conil

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.40	3.05	2.45
	2.26	3.05	3.12
	2.27	3.13	3.05	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.05
	2.32	3.30	2.89
	2.20	3.20	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.88 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
39.7%

Draw
28.9%

Conil
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+3%)

Sevilla C - Conil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 2.

Sevilla C is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Conil have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Conil may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla C has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sevilla C against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Conil	8	3	1	4	6:11	-5	10
16	Sevilla FC C	8	1	3	4	7:14	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.10.26	Dos Hermanas - Sevilla C	5:1 ✺
10.10.26	Sevilla C - Tomares	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Chiclana - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sevilla C - Egabrense	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sevilla C - Xerez Deportivo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.10.26	Conil - Portuense	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Linense - Conil	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Conil - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Conil - Dos Hermanas	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
13.09.26	Utrera - Conil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.01.26	Conil - Sevilla C	2:0
07.09.25	Sevilla C - Conil	1:0
12.04.25	Sevilla C - Conil	3:1
01.12.24	Conil - Sevilla C	0:0
27.03.24	Sevilla C - Conil	1:1
11.11.23	Conil - Sevilla C	1:0
20.01.23	Conil - Sevilla C	2:2

Sevilla C - Conil