Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Rakovski Stadium (Sevlievo)


	Sevlievo		Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.92	3.1
	2.23	3.05	3.35
	7.85	3.70	1.46	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.17	Watch
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.41)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)	2.67 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevlievo
29%

Draw
32.7%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevlievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevlievo's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevlievo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevlievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevlievo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Gorna Oryahovitsa (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sevlievo (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevlievo (votes: 2 - 50%). Gorna Oryahovitsa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Lalev H. (G) 23. Banev M. 19. Borisov N. 16. Dobrev S. 9. Evgeniev Kolev E. 5. Ganev P. 29. Kasov Y. 14. Nikolov G. 10. Ramirez Montoya S. 8. Rodopski R. 3. Yankov N.	12. Milushev K. (G) 15. Arshev P. 8. Avramov I. 9. Ivanov J. 26. Ivanov M. (C) 18. Mainis P. 5. Minkov M. 19. Paskov P. 16. Raykov T. 20. Roemer Y. 29. Simons De Fanti E.
Substitutes
11. Chalkiadakis M. 17. Gyasi E. 6. Karagiannis C. 18. Kepov P. 45. Makaveev S. 93. Petrov D. 7. Roshkov Z. 21. Tsvetanov V. 1. Zlatinov N. (G)	24. Ayeni A. 31. Haralambiev M. (G) 10. Kanchev D. 17. Kolev G. 6. Kolev N. 4. Mihalev D. 14. Petrov M. 7. Todorov K. 27. Tsachev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Sevlievo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gorna Oryahovitsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sevlievo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sevlievo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.09.25	Sevlievo - Minyor Pernik	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Sevlievo	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sevlievo - Fratria	0:1 ✺
26.08.25	Sevlievo - Ludogorets II	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sportist Svoge - Sevlievo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWT
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Chernomorets Burgas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWT

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