Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Sfaxien		Ben Guerdane

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	6.1
	1.64	3.29	5.99	Watch
	1.55	3.36	6.34	Watch
	1.62	3.14	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	6.02 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfaxien
57.1%

Draw
27.8%

Ben Guerdane
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ben Guerdane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Guerdane than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sfaxien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 23. Aidi M. 21. Baccar H. 11. Belwafi I. 4. Habchia Y. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 40. Mutyaba T. 14. Ogbole E. 25. Sekkouhi F. 6. Taifour A.	1. Hammami L. (G) 20. Abcha J. 29. Abderrazzak G. 33. Amri O. 13. Bida J. 11. Hadj Khalifa I. 10. Hakimi B. 24. Harrabi S. 23. Maaouani K. 3. Taous A. 26. Touis I.
Substitutes
10. Absi M. . Ben Ali M. A. 9. Ben Ali O. 13. Derbali R. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 19. Karoui N. 7. Onana W. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.	17. Abdi W. 28. Chaibi R. 9. Dabbebi N. . Felhi F. 21. Karkouba M. (G) . M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. 8. Mimouni F. 99. Salhi W. 14. Yeken M. H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Abcha J. 🟨,
33', Mhadhebi M. S. ↓, Derbali R. ↑,
35', Hakimi B. ↓, M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. ↑,
45+3', Taifour A. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. ⚽,
45+4', M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Harrabi S. ↓, Yeken M. H. ↑,
46', Taifour A. ↓, Ouedraogo H. ↑,
46', Aidi M. ↓, Onana W. ↑,
46', Ogbole E. ↓, Ben Ali O. ↑,
50', Mondeko Zatu K. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
57', Maaouani K. 🟨,
59', Taous A. 🟨,
67', Sekkouhi F. ↓, Absi M. ↑,
72', Amri A. ↓, Chaibi R. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Baccar H. (Pen),
90', Belwafi I. 🟨,
90', Hammami L. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Baccar H. ⚽,
90+8', Baccar H. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sfaxien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sfaxien is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 1.4:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.4:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.09.25	Club Africain - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
28.08.25	Sfaxien - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Métlaoui - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bizertin - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Sfaxien - Zarzis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTL
- US Ben Guerdane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.09.25	Ben Guerdane - Bizertin	0:1 ✺
28.08.25	Zarzis - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
21.08.25	Ben Guerdane - Étoile du Sahel	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Marsa - Ben Guerdane	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Ben Guerdane - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.06.23	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	1:0
16.04.23	Ben Guerdane - Sfaxien	1:2
19.06.22	Ben Guerdane - Sfaxien	0:1
07.05.22	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	0:0
09.03.22	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	0:1
21.03.21	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	1:1
10.01.21	Ben Guerdane - Sfaxien	1:0

Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide