The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sfaxien 22.8%
Draw 29.8%
Espérance ST 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
28.8%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
28.7%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sfaxien - Espérance ST Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 11. Belwafi I. 4. Habchia Y. 10. Maaloul A. (C) 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 12. Mutyaba T. 18. Ogbole E. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.
32. Ben Said B. (G) 11. Belaili Y. 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. 7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 5. Meriah Y. (C) 14. Ogbelu O. 8. Tka H.
Substitutes
22. Absi M. 23. Aidi M. 26. Ben Khader C. 13. Derbali R. 31. Jamiaa M. A. (G) 24. Mathlouthi H. 7. Onana W. 25. Sekkouhi F. 6. Taifour A.
25. Bouzaiene E. 4. Derbali M. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 21. Konate A. 12. Laifi N. 30. Maacha K. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 28. Rached Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Danho F. ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
25', Mondeko Zatu K. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Jelassi H. (Pen),
33', Jebali C. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Baccar H. (Pen),
45', 1 - 2, Belaili Y. ⚽, Boualia K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boualia K. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
46', Ben Ali M. 🟨,
60', Jelassi H. ↓, Guenichi K. ↑,
60', Jebali C. ↓, Laifi N. ↑,
71', Ogbole E. 🟨,
77', Trabelsi M. ↓, Absi M. ↑,
83', Mondeko Zatu K. ↓, Onana W. ↑,
85', Jabri A. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
88', Ouedraogo H. ↓, Taifour A. ↑,
88', Belwafi I. ↓, Aidi M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 0.
Sfaxien is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Espérance ST is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Espérance ST is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
Tunisia
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Dahmen A. (G) 
Mondeko Zatu K. 
Mutyaba T. 
Ogbole E. 
Ouedraogo H. 
Belaili Y. 
Danho F. 
Onana W. 
Taifour A. 
Bouzaiene E. 
Konate A. 
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