Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Jordan	Jordan Sport


	Shabab Al-Ordon		Moghayer Al Sarhan

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.54	3.8	5.4
	1.58	3.82	5.92	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.51	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.54	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	5.29 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ordon
58.4%

Draw
24.4%

Moghayer Al Sarhan
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

18.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ordon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Moghayer Al Sarhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ordon than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shabab Al-Ordon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghayer Al Sarhan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moghayer Al Sarhan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shabab Al Ordon - Moghayer Al Sarhan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Moghayer Al Sarhan (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moghayer Al Sarhan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Farrash S. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Assam K. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Al Mazawda A. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Allan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 🟥,
82', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ordon won 3.

Recent matches Shabab Al-Ordon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moghayer Al Sarhan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shabab Al-Ordon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shabab Al-Ordon is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ordon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Shabab Al-Ordon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ordon
Jordan Premier League
04.04.25	Al-Wehdat - Shabab Al-Ordon	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Sareeh - Shabab Al-Ordon	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Shabab Al-Ordon - Al-Ahli Amman	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Al-Ramtha - Shabab Al-Ordon	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Shabab Al-Ordon - Al Faisaly Amman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLWLT
- Moghayer Al Sarhan
Jordan Premier League
03.04.25	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Al-Sareeh	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Al-Ramtha - Moghayer Al Sarhan	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Al-Jazeera	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Al-Hussein Irbid - Moghayer Al Sarhan	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Al Aqaba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Jordan Premier League
25.10.24	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Shabab Al-Ordon	0:2
19.05.24	Shabab Al-Ordon - Moghayer Al Sarhan	4:0
13.12.23	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Shabab Al-Ordon	1:2
Jordan Shield Cup
08.06.23	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Shabab Al-Ordon	1:0
Jordan Premier League
06.10.22	Shabab Al-Ordon - Moghayer Al Sarhan	1:1
14.05.22	Moghayer Al Sarhan - Shabab Al-Ordon	3:2
Jordan Shield Cup
03.03.22	Shabab Al-Ordon - Moghayer Al Sarhan	0:1

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