Match Info

IRAN: Azadegan League - Round 25

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Shahrdari Astara		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.25	1.52
	6.2	3.5	1.53
	7.6	3.75	1.45	Watch
	7.9	3.8	1.41
	6.2	3.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↑ (4.84)	3.56 ↑ (2.88)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Astara
13.2%

Draw
25.6%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

31.7%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

30.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Astara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shahrdari Astara's form might have worsened.

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Astara than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shahrdari Astara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mes Shahr-e Babak will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
81', 0 - 1, Navabifar E. ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Valizadeh A. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Alidadi A. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Astara won 0.

Shahrdari Astara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mes Shahr-e Babak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mes Shahr-e Babak is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Astara won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Shahrdari Astara won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Astara
Iran Division 1
04.03.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Sungun	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Palayesh Naft - Shahrdari Astara	7:1 ✺
13.02.25	Mes Kerman - Shahrdari Astara	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Shahrdari Astara - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLLT
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
04.03.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Mes Kerman	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
23.10.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shahrdari Astara	2:0
05.12.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0
18.01.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0
27.08.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shahrdari Astara	0:0
02.06.22	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1
28.01.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shahrdari Astara	1:1

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