Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Shan United		Dagon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.67	6.5
	1.60	3.98	4.59	Watch
	1.34	4.65	7.2
	1.55	4.05	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.34 ↑ (3.89)	5.79 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shan United
62.8%

Draw
21.3%

Dagon
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shan United's performance.

Dagon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shan United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Shan United - Dagon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Aizu Y. ⚽,
34', Lam Mang S. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Khant Myat Kaung ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Ko Sa Aung Pyae ⚽,
84', 4 - 0, Matheus Souza ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shan United won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Shan United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shan United is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shan United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shan United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shan United
Myanmar National League
27.09.25	Shan United - Ayeyawady United	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Shan United - Yadanarbon	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Shan United - Rakhine United	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Dagon Port - Shan United	0:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
21.08.25	Shan United - Svay Rieng	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWL
- Dagon FC
Myanmar National League
28.09.25	Dagon - Dagon Port	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	ISPE - Dagon	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Dagon - Ayeyawady United	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Yarmanya United - Dagon	1:5 ✺
19.08.25	Dagon - Thitsar Arman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
01.02.25	Dagon - Shan United	0:0
11.07.24	Shan United - Dagon	2:1
Myanmar MNL League Cup
26.05.24	Shan United - Dagon	2:1 ET
Myanmar National League
30.10.23	Shan United - Dagon	3:1
06.06.23	Dagon - Shan United	2:3
06.07.19	Shan United - Dagon	4:2
26.01.19	Dagon - Shan United	2:5

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