Match Info

Super League Women - Round 11

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Shandong Sports Lottery		Beijing BG Phoenix

	1	X	2
	8.00	4.20	1.34
	7.7	4.15	1.35	Watch
	8.42	4.32	1.32
	8.37	4.32	1.36	Watch
	8.3	4.25	1.3
	8.69	4.3	1.37
	9	4.5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.35 ↑ (6.88)	4.29 ↑ (3.8)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Sports Lottery
10.9%

Draw
21.2%

Beijing BG Phoenix
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

24.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

23.7%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Sports Lottery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Beijing BG Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing BG Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Sports Lottery than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing BG Phoenix than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Shandong Sports Lottery - Beijing BG Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Zhang Linyan ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Li Y. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Super League Women (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League Women (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shandong won 0.

Shandong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beijing BG Phoenix is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shandong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Beijing BG Phoenix is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shandong won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Shandong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Standings

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shandong SL W	12	1	6	5	8:14	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Sports Lottery WFC
Chinese Super League Women
15.07.26	Wuhan Jianghan University - Shandong Sports Lottery	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Shandong Sports Lottery - Guangxi Pingguo	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Shandong Sports Lottery - Zhejiang Hangzhou	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	Changchun Dazhong Zhiye - Shandong Sports Lottery	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Shandong Sports Lottery - Guangdong Meizhou Wuhua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTT
- Beijing BG Phoenix
Chinese Super League Women
12.07.26	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shanghai RCB	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Guangxi Pingguo - Beijing BG Phoenix	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Sichuan - Beijing BG Phoenix	1:3 ✺
19.06.26	Beijing BG Phoenix - Changchun Dazhong Zhiye	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League Women
16.08.25	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shandong Sports Lottery	1:0
19.04.25	Shandong Sports Lottery - Beijing BG Phoenix	0:2
23.06.24	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shandong Sports Lottery	3:0
27.08.23	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shandong Sports Lottery	1:1
12.03.23	Shandong Sports Lottery - Beijing BG Phoenix	1:4
12.11.22	Shandong Sports Lottery - Beijing BG Phoenix	1:0
15.11.21	Beijing BG Phoenix - Shandong Sports Lottery	2:3

Shandong Sports Lottery - Beijing BG Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide