The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sichuan 6.6%
Draw 16.2%
Beijing BG Phoenix 77.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.5%
21.3%
67.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.1%
20.5%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sichuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Beijing BG Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing BG Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sichuan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing BG Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing BG Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sichuan - Beijing BG Phoenix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ruixin Q. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Lu Jiayu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Zhang Linyan ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Super League Women (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League Women (Championship Group: )).
Sichuan is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Beijing BG Phoenix is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Beijing BG Phoenix is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sichuan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sichuan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).