The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shelbourne 53.8%
Draw 22.9%
Shamrock Rovers 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
21.2%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
19.8%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shelbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Butler A. (Own goal),
19', 1 - 1, Doyle S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Doyle S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 1 - 3, O'Reilly K. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Kavanagh A. ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, Milton C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 0.
Shelbourne is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Shamrock is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Shelbourne has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Shelbourne is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Shelbourne in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:21 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shelbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).
Ireland
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