Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.15
	1.57	3.93	5.01	Watch
	1.54	3.62	5.69
	1.58	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.85)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	5.21 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
58.3%

Draw
24.4%

Nordia Jerusalem
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimshon Tel Aviv's performance.

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nordia Jerusalem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimshon Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nordia Jerusalem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+10', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 0.

Shimshon Tel Aviv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Shimshon Tel Aviv is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10:6	4	10
18	Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTLW
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.09.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
12.02.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	2:4
15.10.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
08.03.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
05.10.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	2:2
07.01.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:5
12.09.21	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	3:1

Upcoming Matches