Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Dire Dawa Stadium (Dire Dawa)


	Shire Endaselassie		Mechal

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.2	1.62
	5.28	3.10	1.76	Watch
	5.73	3.33	1.68
	5.37	3.28	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (4.53)	3.23 ↑ (2.91)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shire Endaselassie
16.8%

Draw
28.3%

Mechal
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

31.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

31.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mechal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mechal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shire Endaselassie - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Darge D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Desta B. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Worku A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4).

Sihul Shire has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mechal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mechal is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
08.11.25	Shire Endaselassie - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Shire Endaselassie - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTTW
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.11.25	Mechal - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Mechal	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Mechal - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.25	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1
10.01.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mechal	1:2

Shire Endaselassie - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide