Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Sholing		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.45
	2.35	3.69	2.63	Watch
	1.84	3.66	3.51
	1.84	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	3.27 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
47.2%

Draw
24.7%

Hungerford Town
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sholing's performance.

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hungerford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sholing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hungerford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sholing - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Tume V. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Verissimo Lopes F. J. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Folivi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
58', 2 - 2, Williams H. ⚽,
62', 3 - 2, Folivi M. (Pen),
65', 4 - 2, McCarthy J. ⚽,
78', 4 - 3, Edwards D. ⚽,
82', 5 - 3, McCarthy J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).

Sholing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hungerford's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sholing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sholing has had a series of away games.

Sholing might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sholing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sholing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sholing - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
25.10.25	Sholing - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	Chertsey Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Taunton Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gloucester City - Sholing	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Bishops Cleeve - Sholing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLL
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
25.10.25	Hungerford Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Uxbridge - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gosport Borough - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Bracknell Town - Hungerford Town	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Sholing - Hungerford Town	4:0
07.01.25	Hungerford Town - Sholing	2:1
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hungerford Town - Sholing	3:1
English Southern League South Division
24.02.24	Hungerford Town - Sholing	2:1
21.10.23	Sholing - Hungerford Town	3:3

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