Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 8

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Sartichala Central Stadium (Sartichala)


	Shturmi		Merani Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.22	3.8	Watch
	1.78	4.12	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	4.17 ↑ (4)	3.71 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shturmi
53%

Draw
22.1%

Merani Tbilisi
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shturmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Merani Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shturmi than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Ozbetelashvili L. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Kemoklidze L. ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, Gvasalia G. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Lekvtadze I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 3 - 2, Kantaria Z. ⚽,
60', 3 - 3, Gogoberishvili G. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 3, Gvasalia G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: ) and 9).

Shturmi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Merani Tbilisi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Merani Tbilisi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shturmi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Shturmi will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Shturmi
Georgian Liga 3
08.05.25	Gori - Shturmi	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Shturmi - Orbi	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Kolkheti Khobi - Shturmi	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Shturmi - WIT Georgia	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	Shturmi - Odishi 1919	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
08.05.25	Merani Tbilisi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
24.04.25	Merani Tbilisi - Didube	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Merani Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
10.04.25	Merani Tbilisi - Borjomi	2:2 ✺
03.04.25	Varketili - Merani Tbilisi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTT

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