Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Leimbachstadion (Siegen)


	Siegen		Fortuna Düsseldorf II

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.8
	1.60	3.80	4.91	Watch
	1.66	3.92	4.12
	1.72	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)	4.16 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegen
54.6%

Draw
23.2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

18.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Saghiri H. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Tokac O. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Bindemann D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Willms D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siegen won 2.

Siegen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fortuna II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Siegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Siegen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Siegen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Siegen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
26.10.25	Gütersloh - Siegen	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Siegen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Siegen	3:3 ✺
26.09.25	Siegen - Bochum II	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Wuppertal - Siegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Paderborn II	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Wiedenbrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	5:2 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
21.04.17	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3
16.10.16	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Siegen	2:2
25.04.15	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:0
25.10.14	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Siegen	1:0
16.03.14	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0
21.09.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Siegen	2:1
15.05.13	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2

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