Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Westfalen - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Leimbachstadion (Siegen)


	Siegen		Schermbeck 2020

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.45	4.76	5.58
	1.45	4.76	5.58
	1.44	4.67	5.8
	1.44	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.71)	4.64 ↑ (4.16)	5.59 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegen
63.7%

Draw
19.8%

Schermbeck 2020
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

22.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siegen's performance.

Schermbeck 2020 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Schermbeck 2020 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schermbeck 2020 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schermbeck 2020 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Siegen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schermbeck 2020 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Schermbeck 2020 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Siegen is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siegen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Siegen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Oberliga Westfalen
21.04.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Siegen - Preußen Münster 2	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	TSG Sprockhövel - Siegen	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Siegen - Bövinghausen	5:0 ✺
28.03.24	Siegen - Erkenschwick	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWT
- SV Schermbeck 2020
German Oberliga Westfalen
19.04.24	Schermbeck 2020 - Erkenschwick	0:4 ✺
14.04.24	SG Wattenscheid - Schermbeck 2020	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Schermbeck 2020 - Brünninghausen	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	09 Dortmund - Schermbeck 2020	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Schermbeck 2020 - Vreden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
05.11.23	Schermbeck 2020 - Siegen	1:2
12.02.23	Siegen - Schermbeck 2020	1:1
21.08.22	Schermbeck 2020 - Siegen	3:0
01.05.22	Siegen - Schermbeck 2020	2:3
28.11.21	Schermbeck 2020 - Siegen	2:3

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