Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Siello		Leganés B

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	2.08
	10.90	5.67	1.23	Watch
	3.6	2.97	2.07
	3.06	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (3.06)	3.71 ↑ (3.2)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
19.1%

Draw
27.3%

Leganés B
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siello's form might have worsened.

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leganés B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Siello - Leganés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Sule ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Sule ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
49', 0 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
52', 0 - 4, Siame G. ⚽,
63', 0 - 5, Munoz C. ⚽,
70', 0 - 6, Menac Y. ⚽,
82', 0 - 7, Siame G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Siello has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leganés B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leganés B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Leganés B - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.25	Trival Valderas - Siello	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Siello - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Parla - Siello	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Siello - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	México - Siello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.25	Leganés B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Galapagar - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Trival Valderas - Leganés B	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Leganés B - Torrejón	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Parla - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.24	Leganés B - Siello	1:0
05.11.23	Siello - Leganés B	2:0

Siello - Leganés B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide