Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Siello		Racing Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	1.92	3.09	4.12
	1.31	4.59	10.12	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.96	3.06	3.79
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.03)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)	4.94 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
52.3%

Draw
28.5%

Racing Madrid
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siello's performance.

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siello - Racing Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pacheco E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Siello have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing Madrid is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Siello may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Siello could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Siello	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Siello - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Galapagar - Siello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWLL
- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Leganés B - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Racing Madrid - Trival Valderas	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Torrejón - Racing Madrid	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Madrid - Parla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLT

Siello - Racing Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide