Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Siete Villas		Velarde

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.6
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.6	3.65	4.77
	1.61	3.65	4.78
	1.59	3.8	4.99
	1.6	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	3.7 ↓ (4)	4.77 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siete Villas
56.6%

Draw
24.4%

Velarde
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

21.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siete Villas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siete Villas's form might have worsened.

Velarde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Velarde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siete Villas than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siete Villas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Velarde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Siete Villas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Velarde is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Siete Villas is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Siete Villas to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Siete Villas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Siete Villas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Siete Villas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.12.23	Sámano - Siete Villas	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Siete Villas - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cartes - Siete Villas	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Siete Villas - Tropezón	4:2 ✺
11.11.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Siete Villas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.12.23	Velarde - Atlético Mineros Reocín	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Colindres - Velarde	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Velarde - Revilla	2:3 ✺
18.11.23	Bezana - Velarde	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Velarde - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
24.03.19	Siete Villas - Velarde	0:0
03.11.18	Velarde - Siete Villas	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.08.17	Siete Villas - Velarde	1:2

Siete Villas - Velarde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide