Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Siheung		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.30	3.80
	1.82	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.36	4.46
	1.91	3.35	3.79	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4.25
	1.89	3.46	3.99	Watch
	1.84	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	4.02 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siheung
49.6%

Draw
27.6%

Busan Kyotong
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siheung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Siheung - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Users Predictions: Siheung will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siheung won 3.

Siheung is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Busan Kyotong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Siheung is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Siheung won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Siheung won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	17	55
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Siheung
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Jincheon HR - Siheung	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Siheung - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Chuncheon - Siheung	2:3 ✺
07.06.26	Yeoju - Siheung	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Siheung - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWT
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Gijang United	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Busan Kyotong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
28.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:2
17.08.25	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	0:3
19.04.25	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	0:1
02.11.24	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	3:1
23.06.24	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	3:1
26.08.23	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	1:2
29.04.23	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:0

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