Match Info

1. MFL - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Sileks		Vardar

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.55	1.72
	4.4	3.47	1.72
	4.45	3.62	1.71	Watch
	4.4	3.1	1.73
	4.57	3.76	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.01)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	1.71 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sileks
20.9%

Draw
26%

Vardar
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sileks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sileks's form might have worsened.

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sileks than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sileks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vardar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sileks - Vardar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sileks (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vardar will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sileks (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vardar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Djekov L. (G) 9. Alic A. 6. Angjeleski D. (C) 44. Buturovic E. 8. Dodev D. 16. Donov I. 23. Eftimov K. 71. Miguel Pires 10. Mircevski M. 99. Subert I. 7. Timovski A.	95. Taleski D. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 26. Cvetkovic S. 27. Cvetkovski F. 4. Matic M. 5. Najdovski F. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 99. Torres J. 14. Velkovski D. 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
13. Andonov Z. 18. Berovikj O. 1. Bozinovski D. (G) 22. Delimedjac M. 3. Dimitrievski M. 77. Gerasov M. 19. Mishov A. 26. Nikolic M. 21. Nikolovski M. 88. Stojov S. 11. Velinovski K.	6. Babunski D. 32. Castaneda D. 7. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 25. Kjosevski V. (G) 18. Mishkovski N. 29. Olaosebikan I. 34. Puleio I. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 22. Todorovski D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Nikolov B. 🟨,
17', Dodev D. 🟨,
26', Dodev D. 🟨,
26', Angjeleski D. 🟨,
28', Najdovski F. 🟨,
31', Buturovic E. ↓, Nikolic M. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Cvetkovic S. ⚽,
44', Miguel Pires 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angjeleski D. ↓, Andonov Z. ↑,
46', Miguel Pires ↓, Velinovski K. ↑,
46', Eftimov K. ↓, Delimedjac M. ↑,
46', Najdovski F. ↓, Jankulov G. ↑,
60', Nikolov B. ↓, Danev D. ↑,
60', Cvetkovic S. ↓, Castaneda D. ↑,
66', Mircevski M. ↓, Mishov A. ↑,
70', Velkovski D. ↓, Mishkovski N. ↑,
77', Zakaric G. ↓, Olaosebikan I. ↑,
87', Alic A. ↓, Berovikj O. ↑,
90', Torres J. ↓, Babunski D. ↑,
90+2', Taleski D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sileks won 2.

Sileks is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vardar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Sileks has had a series of away games.

Vardar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sileks won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sileks won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	13:10	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sileks
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.03.26	Pelister - Sileks	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tikveš - Sileks	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
25.02.26	Plačkovica - Sileks	0:3 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
22.02.26	Sileks - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Struga - Sileks	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLW
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.03.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Struga - Vardar	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.02.26	Vardar - Ohrid	1:2 penalties ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.02.26	Vardar - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Rabotnički - Vardar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.10.25	Vardar - Sileks	2:1
09.03.25	Sileks - Vardar	1:1
North Macedonian Cup
26.02.25	Vardar - Sileks	1:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.12.24	Sileks - Vardar	1:0
25.09.24	Vardar - Sileks	0:1
12.05.24	Sileks - Vardar	1:1
06.12.23	Sileks - Vardar	3:2

Sileks - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide