Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 1

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Mefire A. (Cmr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Simba		Atlético Petróleos de Luanda

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.55	5.4	Watch
	1.81	3.17	4.83	Watch
	1.63	3.46	6.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.94)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	5.5 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Simba
55.9%

Draw
27.3%

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Petróleos de Luanda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Petróleos de Luanda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Simba - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Simba (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Simba will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Suleiman Y. (G) 5. Mligo A. 7. Mutale J. 8. Kante A. 12. Kapombe S. (C) 18. Abraham M. 23. De Reuck R. 30. Camara N. 31. Nangu W. 34. Mpanzu E. 35. Maema N.	1. Marques H. (G) 4. Constantino Aderito R. 7. Cruz A. 24. Kinito 25. Afonso E. (C) 27. Hossi A. 8. Toro J. 12. Benny 20. Pereira J. 36. Gigal 19. Paciencia J.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 10. Ahoua J. C. 36. Chasambi L. 15. Duchu 2. Karaboue C. 11. Mukwala S. 40. Mwalimu S. 37. Semfuko H. 3. Sowah J.	22. Augusto 3. Gibele 33. Ilidio I. 9. Julinho 37. Maya 2. Odair 23. Tiago Reis 18. Vidinho
Coaches
Pantev D.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Kinito 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Camara N. ↓, Ahoua J. C. ↑,
53', Mutale J. ↓, Sowah J. ↑,
60', Toro J. 🟨,
63', Gigal ↓, Gilberto ↑,
64', Paciencia J. ↓, Tiago Reis ↑,
73', Abraham M. ↓, Chasambi L. ↑,
76', Artiga F. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Benny ⚽, Tiago Reis (A),
84', Kante A. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
86', Hossi A. ↓, Vidinho ↑,
87', Benny ↓, Julinho ↑,
90', Ahoua J. C. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Simba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simba is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Simba will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.11.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.10.25	Simba - Nsingizini Hotspurs	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nsingizini Hotspurs - Simba	0:3 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
01.10.25	Simba - Namungo	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
28.09.25	Simba - Gaborone United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWWT
- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
Angolan Girabola
09.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Primeiro de Agosto	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Interclube	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.10.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade dAbidjan	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Stade dAbidjan - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:2 ✺
Angolan Girabola
05.10.25	Wiliete - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches