Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Simba		Mashujaa

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.15	8.6
	1.23	5.01	11.06
	1.3	4.66	9.64	Watch
	1.29	4.33	10
	1.34	4.35	9.54
	1.3	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	4.5 ↑ (4.1)	9.47 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
70.1%

Draw
20.2%

Mashujaa
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

22.1%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mashujaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Simba - Mashujaa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tanja M. (G) 18. Abraham M. 17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. 15. Duchu 29. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 3. Kibabage N. 38. Kibu D. 31. Nangu W. 20. Oura A. A.	30. Munthari P. (G) 11. Balama M. 14. Haji H. 4. Jackson S. 19. Kibaya J. 8. Kihimbwa S. 27. Madeleke S. 7. Mohamed A. 20. Mwakinyuke M. 25. Salum M. 67. Selemani B.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 30. Camara N. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 5. Mligo A. 40. Mwalimu S. 9. Mwangosi B. 37. Semfuko H. 25. Toure O.	. Bakari A. . Dunia . Kanyonga L. (G) . Magingi F. . Mgandila S. . Mhagama C. . Said M. 12. Seif A. 28. Ulomi D. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gueye L. ⚽, Kibu D. (A),
31', Jackson S. 🟨,
41', Kibu D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Madeleke S. 🟨,
60', Selemani B. ↓, Ulomi D. R. ↑,
68', Kibu D. ↓, Mwalimu S. ↑,
70', Kibaya J. ↓, Seif A. ↑,
70', Balama M. ↓, Dunia ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Mwalimu S. ⚽,
78', Abraham M. ↓, Chasambi L. ↑,
78', Gueye L. ↓, Camara N. ↑,
83', De Reuck R. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
83', Oura A. A. ↓, Mwangosi B. ↑,
84', Haji H. ↓, Mhagama C. ↑,
84', Kihimbwa S. ↓, Said M. ↑,
88', Camara N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

Simba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Simba is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Simba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
18.01.26	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Azam - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
07.12.25	Simba - Azam	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLW
- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
19.01.26	Young Africans - Mashujaa	6:0 ✺
01.12.25	Mashujaa - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Mashujaa - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Pamba - Mashujaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1
01.11.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1
15.03.24	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0
03.02.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1

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