Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Isamuhyo Stadium (Dar es Salaam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1


	Simba		Mashujaa

	1	X	2
	1.20	5.75	11.00
	1.18	5	11.5
	1.22	4.85	15.50	Watch
	1.18	5.1	15.5	Watch
	1.20	5.00	11.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.23)	5.14 ↑ (4.6)	12.9 ↑ (10.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
75.4%

Draw
17.6%

Mashujaa
7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.2%

19.3%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mashujaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Simba - Mashujaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Chama C. (C) 26. Chilambo N. 7. Gueye L. 8. Jabaar I. 21. Kagoma Y. 35. Maema N. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 20. Oura A. A. 39. Rafiu Kassali A. 25. Toure O.	43. Malik M. (G) 45. Joseph M. 57. Kabunda H. 54. Lidah H. 3. Lyawatwa H. 27. Madeleke S. 2. Mangalo A. 13. Mgandila S. 7. Mhagama C. 20. Mwakinyuke M. (C) 23. Simba T.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 29. Doumbia I. . Duchu 3. Kibabage N. 11. Makgalwa K. . Mgunda I. 19. Msimu B. . Nindi I. 37. Semfuko H.	. Balama M. . Bwenzi S. 21. Chanongo H. 39. Daudi M. 15. Kakoko Y. . Kanyonga L. (G) 10. Kihimbwa S. 32. Mahadhi J. H. 5. Mfuko A. 51. Vuai M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gueye L. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Mpanzu E. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, Oura A. A. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Mpanzu E. ⚽,
62', 5 - 0, Abraham M. ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, Bwenzi S. ⚽,
69', 6 - 1, Toure O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 5.

Simba has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Mashujaa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Simba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Simba as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Simba has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:1 (averaging 1.8:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Simba against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Simba	8	8	0	0	19:4	15	24
8	Mashujaa	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Simba - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 72.23%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
10.10.26	Simba - Young Africans	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Azam - Simba	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
13.09.26	Simba - Mighty Wanderers	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mighty Wanderers - Simba	0:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
31.08.26	Simba - Geita Gold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.10.26	Mashujaa - Polisi Tanzania	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mashujaa - Singida Black Stars	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Dodoma Jiji - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Mashujaa - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
14.05.26	Mashujaa - Simba	0:3
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1
01.11.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1
15.03.24	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0
03.02.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1

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