Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sint-Truidense		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.90	5.50	Watch
	1.57	4.20	5.50
	1.53	4.10	5.75	Watch
	1.54	4.54	6.23
	1.56	4.28	5.68	Watch
	1.51	4.45	6.05
	1.53	4.40	6.09	Watch
	1.52	4.30	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.27 ↑ (3.8)	5.8 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
61.7%

Draw
22.1%

RAAL La Louvière
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sint-Truidense's performance.

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Sint Truidense - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 26. Musliu V. 3. Hata T. 8. Sissako A. 14. Merlen R. 38. Matsuzawa K. 71. Araki R. 10. Sebaoui I. 9. Bazdar S.	21. Peano M. (C) 44. Boukamir M. 33. Nkoa P. 99. Okou Y. 18. Delos S. 29. Courcoul M. 48. Coulibaly I. 5. Lutonda T. 30. Gruber Z. 9. Filet E. 11. Isah M.
Substitutes
77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 18. Ishiwatari N. 22. Janssens W. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 11. Mbuku N. 23. Pupe J. 99. Shinkawa S.	4. Faye W. 22. Gourville S. 23. Ito J. 7. Kovacs M. 91. Radelet T. (G) 90. Rousseau L. 28. Soumare B. 78. Tajaouart A. 10. Wade M.
Coaches
De Meyer F.	Still E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Isah M. 🟨,
13', Sebaoui I. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Merlen R. ⚽, Matsuzawa K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Taniguchi S. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Vanwesemael R. ⚽, Merlen R. (A),
59', Lutonda T. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
60', Filet E. ↓, Tajaouart A. ↑,
61', Delos S. 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Bazdar S. ⚽, Sissako A. (A),
74', Araki R. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
74', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Pupe J. ↑,
74', Delos S. ↓, Kovacs M. ↑,
74', Isah M. ↓, Rousseau L. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Bazdar S. ⚽, Sissako A. (A),
80', Sebaoui I. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
84', Bazdar S. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,

Preview

Sint-Truidense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Louvière is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sint-Truidense is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Soelle F. (Inactive)

There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

St. Truiden: 0.65% RAAL La Louviere: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	8	2	2	4	15:16	-1	8
16	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	1	6	8:18	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Omonia - Sint-Truidense	4:2 ✺
20.08.26	Sint-Truidense - Omonia	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Standard Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - Gent	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Anderlecht - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.01.26	RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense	1:2
17.08.25	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	2:1

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