The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sint-Truidense 25.9%
Draw 26.2%
Saint-Gilloise 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
27.1%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
26.3%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
16.7%
77.8%
Sint Truidense - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Union SG will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 58.6% – 97%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 22. Janssens W. 26. Musliu V. (C) 23. Pupe J. 18. Ishiwatari N. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 71. Araki R. 10. Sebaoui I. 77. Diouf O.
12. Koffi H. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. (C) 29. Sylla M. 80. Kricfalusi O. 27. Patris L. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 11. Guilherme Smith 38. Mofokeng R. 9. Biondic M. 23. Zeneli B.
Substitutes
9. Bazdar S. 31. Benachour I. 33. Diriken A. 3. Hata T. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Merlen R. 99. Shinkawa S. 5. Taniguchi S.
1. Chambaere V. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 30. Florucz R. 39. Hamoutahar Y. 55. Havenaar N. 32. Keita S. 28. Olaru D. 14. Pavlic I. 17. Schoofs R.
Coaches
De Meyer F.
Hubert D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Patris L. ⚽, Biondic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Sissako A. 🟨,
49', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
54', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Mac Allister K. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
57', Diouf O. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
57', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
61', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
63', 0 - 3, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Biondic M. (A),
65', Guilherme Smith ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
65', Mofokeng R. ↓, Olaru D. ↑,
65', Araki R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
71', Biondic M. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
72', Van De Perre K. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
72', Muja A. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
72', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
79', Zeneli B. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Union SG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Soelle F.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Union SG: Chibani N.
(Inactive)
Sykes R.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Union SG: Hurtevent I.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now
Royale Union SG: 25.28% St. Truiden: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Royale Union SG
7
6
1
0
21:3
18
19
11
St. Truiden
7
2
2
3
12:12
0
8
Last Results with these Odds
Sint-Truidense - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Saint-Gilloise - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.