Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Siofok		Ajka

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	2.8	2.95	2.5
	3.67	3.2	2.12
	3.67	3.2	2.12
	3.46	3.18	2.03
	3.4	3.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.83)	3.12 ↑ (2.91)	2.14 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Siofok
27.3%

Draw
29.5%

Ajka
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

31%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siofok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siofok than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siofok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Siofok - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Zima A. (G) . Bartjas 3. Debrecini 9. Denes C. 18. Gyurkits G. 68. Hegedus J. 37. Kitl M. 11. Major G. 92. Nemeth B. 23. Posztobanyi P. 4. Vekony V.	97. Szabados I. (G) 7. Borsos F. 13. Csemer G. 19. Csizmadia Z. 88. Fiath B. 25. Jagodics B. 5. Kenderes Z. 27. Szarka A. 22. Tajthy T. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Jagodics B. 🟨,
18', 🟨,
26', Major G. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fiath B. ↓, Pantovic N. ↑,
46', Borsos F. ↓, Bence B. ↑,
59', Bence B. ⚽,
63', Tajthy T. ↓, Nagy M. ↑,
77', Toth G. ↓, Horvath P. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siofok won 2.

Recent matches Siofok is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Siofok won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Siofok won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Siofok
Hungarian NB II
10.03.24	Szombathelyi Haladas - Siofok	3:2 ✺
03.03.24	Siofok - Vasas	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Budapest Honved - Siofok	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Siofok - Kazincbarcikai	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Tiszakécske - Siofok	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWWW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
10.03.24	Vasas - Ajka	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Pecsi - Ajka	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ajka - Mosonmagyaróvár	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Soroksár - Ajka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
24.09.23	Ajka - Siofok	0:2
19.03.23	Siofok - Ajka	0:2
02.10.22	Ajka - Siofok	3:1
30.01.22	Siofok - Ajka	2:1
08.08.21	Ajka - Siofok	1:1
16.09.20	Ajka - Siofok	1:1
06.10.19	Siofok - Ajka	2:2

Upcoming Matches