Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Siofok		Budapest Honved

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.25	2.1
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	3.18	3.54	2.14
	3.18	3.34	2.17	Watch
	3	3.4	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.5)	3.41 (3.41)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siofok
30.3%

Draw
26.9%

Budapest Honved
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.2%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siofok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siofok than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Budapest Honved could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Siofok - Budapest Honved Predictions

Users Predictions: Budapest Honved will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Winter D. (G) 73. Bondi A. 3. Debreceni A. 9. Denes C. 37. Kitl M. 11. Major G. 88. Nagy R. 18. Polenyi G. 5. Vago G. 81. Varjas Z. 4. Vekony V.	1. Duzs G. (G) 8. Adorjan K. 44. Benczenleitner B. 7. Bocskay B. 66. Eordogh A. 20. Holman D. 3. Kalnoki-Kis D. 76. Kocsis D. 14. Kovacs N. 17. Krajcsovics A. 4. Szabo A.
Substitutes
17. Girsik A. 14. Gyorgy N. 71. Hutvagner G. (G) 60. Kovacs B. 10. Laszlo D. 24. Menyhart Z. 6. Nagy-Kolozsvari D. 8. Nemes M. 25. Schildkraut K. 16. Szedlar Z. 21. Toth T.	6. Atrok I. 90. Gyetvan M. (G) 21. Haragos V. 5. Horvath M. 22. Keresztes N. 25. Lovric I. 30. Nyitrai B. 74. Simon B. 83. Tujvel T. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sio'fok won 1.

Sio'fok is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Honved is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Honved will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sio'fok won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sio'fok won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Siofok
Hungarian NB II
16.08.23	Kazincbarcikai - Siofok	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Siofok - Tiszakécske	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Siofok - Pecsi	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Siofok	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Iváncsa - Siofok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLT
- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
16.08.23	Budapest Honved - Tiszakécske	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Budapest Honved	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Budapest Honved - Kozármisleny	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Csákvári - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Budapest Honved - Ajka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.20	Budapest Honved - Siofok	1:2
Hungarian Cup
07.03.18	Budapest Honved - Siofok	2:1
21.02.18	Siofok - Budapest Honved	2:2
Club Friendly
25.03.17	Budapest Honved - Siofok	4:0
22.01.14	Budapest Honved - Siofok	5:0
Hungarian NB I
24.11.12	Budapest Honved - Siofok	2:0
29.07.12	Siofok - Budapest Honved	N/A

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