The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sioni Bolnisi 45.7%
Draw 30.4%
Aragvi Dusheti 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
25.5%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.9%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sioni Bolnisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sioni Bolnisi's form might have worsened.
Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sioni Bolnisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Sioni Bolnisi - Aragvi Dusheti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 3. Dundua T. 25. Kilasonia V. (C) 6. Huskic A. 13. Kakulia G. 4. Mindiashvili T. 8. Sitchinava Z. 16. Ubilava G. 14. Leo Silva 30. Tsitskishvili Z. 19. Gazdeliani R.
12. Kutateladze G. (G) 3. Molashvili T. (C) 21. Mensa N. 5. Chokheli L. 20. Oppong A. 27. Nuhu B. 10. Kobakhidze L. 30. Bzekalava T. 18. Bregvadze T. 11. Dvalishvili S. 16. Amoako D.
Substitutes
32. Avaliani L. (G) 7. Gegeshidze L. 27. Ghagelishvili L. 18. Guliashvili T. 21. Jeladze G. 39. Kevin 10. Tskhovrebashvili N.
8. Antwi P. 13. Javakhishvili I. 40. Khintibidze G. 6. Mekhtievi I. 33. Odikadze G. (G) 7. Pipia G. 9. Sadikov E. 26. Suleimani S. 14. Zaridze I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Bzekalava T. ⚽, Molashvili T. (A),
34', Gazdeliani R. ↓, Jeladze G. ↑,
44', Dvalishvili S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Tsitskishvili Z. 🟨,
63', Dvalishvili S. ↓, Javakhishvili I. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Dundua T. ⚽, Tsitskishvili Z. (A),
69', Javakhishvili I. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Oppong A. ⚽,
76', Sitchinava Z. ↓, Kevin ↑,
76', Kakulia G. ↓, Guliashvili T. ↑,
79', Kobakhidze L. ↓, Antwi P. ↑,
89', Bzekalava T. ↓, Zaridze I. ↑,
90+3', Amoako D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sioni won 2.
In recent outings, Sioni has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aragvi has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Sioni is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sioni has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sioni against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.3 per game).
Watch
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Kurdadze B. (G) 
Huskic A. 
Leo Silva 
Mensa N. 
Ghagelishvili L. 
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