Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 18

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Studenternas IP (Uppsala)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sirius		Häcken

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.2	3.8
	1.77	4.00	3.90
	1.7	4	4.2
	1.73	4.29	4.33
	1.68	4.46	4.29	Watch
	1.83	4.05	3.8
	1.81	4.22	3.81	Watch
	1.77	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	4.15 ↓ (4.23)	4 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirius
53.7%

Draw
22.7%

Häcken
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

22.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Sirius - Häcken Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sirius will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Celic D. (G) 5. Castegren H. (C) 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 19. Milleskog N. 10. Heier M. 6. Lindberg M. 22. Krusnell O. 24. Svensson V. 7. Persson J. 11. Bjerkebo I.	99. Berisha E. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 15. Vaisanen L. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 19. Seger D. 6. Doumbia A. 20. Svanback A. 10. Rygaard M. (C) 11. Lindberg J. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
25. Adindu O. 1. Diawara I. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 35. Eld E. 36. Ljungberg A. 23. Neat F. 21. Nilden C. 15. Sandberg S. 18. Wikman A.	35. Andersson D. (G) 14. Haaland M. 13. Hilvenius H. 32. Ibrahim H. 25. Kondo S. 7. Ngabo S. 24. Sadiku B. 23. Samuelsson O. 27. Wawa C.
Coaches
Engelmark A.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Heier M. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Lindberg J. ⚽, Rygaard M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Milleskog N. ↓, Adindu O. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Lindgren G. ⚽,
64', Lindgren G. 🟨,
73', Persson J. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
73', Svensson V. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
78', Soumah M. 🟨,
80', 0 - 3, Lindgren G. ⚽, Svanback A. (A),
82', Rygaard M. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
82', Heier M. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
85', Svanback A. ↓, Sadiku B. ↑,
87', Vaisanen L. ↓, Samuelsson O. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 2.

Sirius is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Häcken has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sirius will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sirius: Jonsson N. (Inactive) Nartey M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Häcken: Engdahl B. (Injury) Hestnes S. (Inactive) Linde A. (Inactive) Ohman F. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Häcken: Ibrahim H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Sirius: 73.33% Hacken: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52:28	24	51
5	Hacken	22	9	9	4	39:30	9	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.08.26	Mjällby - Sirius	4:3 ✺
10.08.26	Sirius - Brommapojkarna	2:2 ✺
03.08.26	Halmstad - Sirius	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Sirius - IFK Göteborg	4:1 ✺
19.07.26	Elfsborg - Sirius	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWWW
- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.26	Häcken - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hammarby - Häcken	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Häcken - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Häcken - AIK	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Halmstad - Häcken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.26	Häcken - Sirius	2:2
18.10.25	Häcken - Sirius	1:1
10.05.25	Sirius - Häcken	2:0
Svenska Cupen
01.03.25	Häcken - Sirius	0:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Häcken - Sirius	2:0
04.05.24	Sirius - Häcken	0:3
20.08.23	Häcken - Sirius	3:2

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