The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sitra 16.1%
Draw 23.9%
Al-Riffa 59.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.5%
26%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
25.5%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sitra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sitra's form might have worsened.
Al-Riffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Riffa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sitra than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riffa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Riffa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sitra - Al Riffa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Salem M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Abduljabbar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Meziani T. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Rodrigo Yuri ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Wade B. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 5th and 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sitra won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Sitra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Al-Riffa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Sitra has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:27 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sitra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 4:11 goals (averaging 0.6:1.6 per game).