Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Sivas Belediyespor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	2.25	3.05	2.85
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.37	3.54	2.8
	2.34	3.22	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.96 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivas Belediyespor
41%

Draw
28.1%

Karacabey Belediyespor
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

18.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivas Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sivas Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karacabey Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivas Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivas Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karacabey Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sivas Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Sivas Belediyespor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Karacabey Belediyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sivas Belediyespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sivas Belediyespor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sivas Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivas Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
04.03.21	Sivas Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:2 ✺
18.02.21	Sivas Belediyespor - Pazarspor	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Serik Belediyespor - Sivas Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Sivas Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Bayburt İl Özel İdare - Sivas Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.03.21	Sakaryaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
04.03.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Pazarspor	1:0 ✺
18.02.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kırklarelispor	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Eyüpspor	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	1922 Konyaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
11.11.20	Karacabey Belediyespor - Sivas Belediyespor	4:0

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