Match Info

Nike liga - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mestský štadión Skalica (Skalica) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Choren M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovakia	18:00	Dajto, Voyo


	Skalica		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.30	1.85
	3.60	3.30	1.83
	4.19	3.40	1.95
	4.28	3.56	1.82	Watch
	4.10	3.25	1.93
	4.10	3.50	1.85	Watch
	3.80	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.28)	3.38 ↓ (3.82)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skalica
23.2%

Draw
27.4%

Spartak Trnava
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skalica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skalica than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Skalica - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trnava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Junas M. (G) 13. Sula S. 6. Karhan P. 20. Podhorin O. (C) 3. Cernek M. 27. Baris D. 5. Ryzek M. 23. Daniel E. 19. Masik M. 8. Simko L. 9. Morong A.	72. Vantruba M. (C) 21. Fabis L. 2. Nwadike P. 13. Ujlaky M. 3. Carrion J. 8. Moistsrapishvili G. 91. Lausic M. 11. Azango P. 30. Khorkheli L. 20. Trello F. 14. Wildeboer T.
Substitutes
30. Abdullahi A. 34. Eshele E. 14. Gulisek M. 11. Krizan A. 1. Ludha R. (G) 7. Onyedika P. 91. Potocny R. 17. Pudhorocky P. 21. Ravas A.	5. Begala R. 22. Bukovsky D. 4. Holik L. 15. Konney D. 17. Mehmeti L. 25. Mensah I. 6. Prochazka R. 7. Skrbo S. 1. Szaraz B. (G)
Coaches
Macek S.	Geri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Wildeboer T. ⚽, Lausic M. (A),
41', Masik M. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Podhorin O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Nwadike P. 🟨,
55', Podhorin O. 🟨,
57', Daniel E. 🟨,
61', Azango P. ↓, Mehmeti L. ↑,
62', Khorkheli L. ↓, Bukovsky D. ↑,
65', Ryzek M. ↓, Pudhorocky P. ↑,
65', Masik M. ↓, Onyedika P. ↑,
66', Trello F. 🟨,
72', Simko L. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
77', Trello F. ↓, Skrbo S. ↑,
79', Baris D. ↓, Ravas A. ↑,
85', Abdullahi A. 🟨,
89', Fabis L. ↓, Holik L. ↑,
89', Moistsrapishvili G. ↓, Prochazka R. ↑,
90+1', Holik L. 🟨,
90+2', Morong A. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th in the Nike liga (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Nike liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skalica won 0.

Skalica is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Trnava is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Trnava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Trnava for this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Skalica has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:32 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Skalica against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trnava	12	6	4	2	25:15	10	22
9	Skalica	12	2	4	6	13:23	-10	10

Outrights of Slovak Superliga for now

Skalica: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Skalica - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Skalica
Slovak Cup
20.10.26	Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš - Skalica	0:1 penalties ✺
Slovak Superliga
17.10.26	Skalica - Trenčín	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Skalica - Slovan Bratislava	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Skalica - Podbrezová	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Skalica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLL
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
17.10.26	Spartak Trnava - Slovan Bratislava	0:3 ✺
Slovak Cup
14.10.26	Piešťany - Spartak Trnava	0:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
11.10.26	Podbrezová - Spartak Trnava	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Spartak Trnava	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spartak Trnava - MFK Košice	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
25.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	1:1
13.12.25	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	2:0
13.09.25	Skalica - Spartak Trnava	0:4
30.11.24	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	2:0
24.08.24	Skalica - Spartak Trnava	1:2
03.12.23	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	2:0
27.08.23	Skalica - Spartak Trnava	0:0

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