Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)


	Skeid		Ullensaker Kisa

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4
	1.75	3.94	4.1
	1.71	3.96	4.11
	1.67	4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.41)	3.98 ↓ (4.5)	4.04 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
54%

Draw
23.2%

Ullensaker Kisa
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Ullensaker Kisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ullensaker Kisa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ullensaker Kisa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Skeid - Ullensaker Kisa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 32. Aaserud M. 3. Flo F. 2. Ghaedamini K. 9. Kalabatama K. 5. Lange T. 10. Ness U. 39. Rise B. 4. Steiring P. (C) 14. Toure O. 8. Yusuf H.	1. Twizere C. (G) 3. Arzani D. 14. Berg S. 4. Bjorkkjaer S. 8. Blarud M. (C) 18. Flores M. 5. Gjelsvik S. 17. Ignjic U. 6. Naustdal B. 2. Saebo P. 11. Skille J.
Substitutes
11. Bojang S. 23. Fjellestad N. 26. Hjelde E. 22. Hoyland L. 24. Lazarevic F. (G) 21. Lindback M. 30. Lunde D. 17. Stensrud A. 18. Tjostheim E.	20. Da Silva F. F. 16. Nilsen-Modebe S. 13. Opsahl A. 31. Rrahmani M. (G) 22. Sorensen K. 19. Svenningsen L. 21. Walle M. 15. Werni S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Naustdal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Toure O. ↓, Bojang S. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Skille J. ⚽,
60', Aaserud M. ↓, Tjostheim E. ↑,
68', Berg S. ↓, Werni S. ↑,
69', Tjostheim E. 🟨,
75', Ness U. ↓, Lindback M. ↑,
77', Skille J. ↓, Da Silva F. F. ↑,
83', Ignjic U. ↓, Svenningsen L. ↑,
83', Saebo P. ↓, Opsahl A. ↑,
88', Kalabatama K. ↓, Lunde D. ↑,
90', Da Silva F. F. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Werni S. ⚽,
90+7', Steiring P. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: ) and 10).

Skeid is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ull Kisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ull Kisa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Skeid is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Skeid to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skeid won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
27.04.24	Follo - Skeid	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.24	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.24	Skeid - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Strindheim - Skeid	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Gamle Oslo - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW
- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
27.04.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Grorud	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Rosenborg	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
21.04.24	Alta - Ullensaker Kisa	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Strømmen	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Lørenskog - Ullensaker Kisa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.23	Skeid - Ullensaker Kisa	0:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.10.19	Skeid - Ullensaker Kisa	1:2
05.05.19	Ullensaker Kisa - Skeid	3:2
Club Friendly
02.02.19	Ullensaker Kisa - Skeid	1:1
10.02.17	Ullensaker Kisa - Skeid	0:1

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