Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Skikda		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	5.5	2.9	1.75
	4.6	3.2	1.75
	4.1	2.95	1.9
	4.5	2.9	1.86
	4.88	3.07	1.93
	5.5	2.88	1.75
	4.45	3.02	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.4)	2.99 ↑ (2.86)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skikda
19.2%

Draw
30.7%

ES Sétif
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

32%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

25.3%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skikda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skikda than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skikda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	4.4%	84.4%

Skikda - ES Sétif Predictions

Users Predictions: ES Sétif will win (38 of 45 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.85% – 95.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion to CAF Champions League (Qualification)).

Skikda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ES Sétif is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ES Sétif could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ES Sétif is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAM Skikda
Algerian Ligue 1
16.04.21	Skikda - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	USM Alger - Skikda	4:1 ✺
13.03.21	Magra - Skikda	3:2 ✺
06.03.21	Skikda - Oran	0:1 ✺
26.02.21	Bel-Abbès - Skikda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL
- ES Sétif
CAF Confederation Cup
28.04.21	ES Sétif - Al-Ahly Benghazi	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Orlando Pirates - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
15.04.21	ES Sétif - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
11.04.21	ES Sétif - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
04.04.21	Enyimba - ES Sétif	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWL

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