Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday


	Skjetten		Molde 2

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.05
	1.85	4.29	3.19	Watch
	1.6	4.75	3.6
	1.82	4.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	4.29 ↓ (4.9)	3.29 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skjetten
51.1%

Draw
21.2%

Molde 2
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

18.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

18.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skjetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skjetten's form might have worsened.

Molde 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skjetten than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skjetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde 2 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Skjetten - Molde 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Magomadov D. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Magomadov D. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Khachatrjan E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 4 - 0, Egbele F. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Skjetten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Skjetten will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skjetten SK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
07.09.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Skjetten	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Skjetten - Træff	2:4 ✺
24.08.24	Aalesunds 2 - Skjetten	3:4 ✺
19.08.24	Skjetten - Hødd 2	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Skjetten - Funnefoss Vormsund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Molde FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
08.09.24	Molde 2 - Gjelleråsen	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Ready - Molde 2	5:2 ✺
25.08.24	Molde 2 - Skedsmo	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	2:2 ✺
05.08.24	Kristiansund 2 - Molde 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTL

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