Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 10 July 2023, Monday


	Skjetten		Ullern 2

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.33	1.6
	3.9	4.5	1.52
	3.89	4.82	1.52
	3.9	4	1.6
	4.5	4.65	1.54
	4.5	4.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (2.28)	4.47 ↑ (3.91)	1.56 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skjetten
22%

Draw
20.2%

Ullern 2
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

23.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skjetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skjetten's form might have worsened.

Ullern 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ullern 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skjetten than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skjetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern 2 than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ullern 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Skjetten - Ullern 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Skjetten will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Ullern 2 will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ullern 2: 46.1% – 91.5%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Skjetten is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ullern 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ullern 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skjetten SK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
03.07.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Skjetten	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Stabæk 2 - Skjetten	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Skjetten - Skedsmo	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Gneist - Skjetten	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Skjetten - Os TF	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLL
- Ullern 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
01.07.23	Ullern 2 - Fana	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Ullern 2 - Gjelleråsen	0:1 ✺
18.06.23	Sandviken - Ullern 2	2:3 ✺
11.06.23	Ullern 2 - Lysekloster	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Grorud 2 - Ullern 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL

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