Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.62
	2.32	3.39	2.6
	2.47	3.29	2.61
	2.31	3.25	2.77	Watch
	2.82	3.41	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	2.53 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
37%

Draw
27.2%

Polkowice
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skra Częstochowa's performance.

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polkowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polkowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Polkowice (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polkowice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Zynek B. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Zendelek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 3, Baranowski F. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 0.

Skra Częstochowa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Polkowice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skra Częstochowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Polkowice	11	4	3	4	19:18	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Skra Częstochowa - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica 2	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Skra Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWT
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.04.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Polkowice - Miedź Legnica 2	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Polkowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.25	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	4:1
Polish Division 1
16.04.22	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	2:2
03.10.21	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 2
03.05.21	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:1
07.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	1:3
29.02.20	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	4:1
17.08.19	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	1:0

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