Match Info

Abissnet Superiore - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
International	14:00	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		AF Elbasani

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	2.10
	3.24	2.86	2.24
	3.35	2.66	2.43	Watch
	2.90	2.90	2.15
	3.09	3.09	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	2.91 ↓ (3.36)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
28.7%

Draw
31%

AF Elbasani
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - AF Elbasani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dobjani I. (G) 17. Charles B. (C) 26. Drame O. 25. Janaqi D. 6. Kaceli K. 4. Lagonidis G. 28. Musa B. 97. Seydi A. 77. Shaqe K. 8. Totre E. 32. Zenullari E.	24. Aleksovski I. (G) 32. Antovski F. 41. Borici A. 9. Hebaj R. 17. Ibrahim A. 77. Lila B. 6. Lleshi K. 4. Lulaj B. (C) 19. Mazari A. 10. Nikaj A. 7. Tresa L.
Substitutes
71. Alia M. (G) 11. Diallo A. 23. Doda M. 67. Jahiji D. 2. Kurti R. 3. Lleshi L. 7. Moussavou D. 10. Nasr S. 18. Shkembi F. 21. Vangjeli K. 9. Velichkovski N. 5. Victor Braga	70. Boye I. 21. Deliu A. 12. Gega R. (G) 25. Gjeli B. 92. Gjini E. 8. Ibraimi D. 3. Ifeanyi I. 11. Kasa K. 22. Lleshi A. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 1. Totoshi K. (G) 14. Wague M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Hebaj R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Mazari A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Charles B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaceli K. ↓, Vangjeli K. ↑,
58', Totre E. 🟨,
58', Seydi A. 🟨,
58', Tresa L. 🟨,
60', Hebaj R. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
66', Janaqi D. 🟨,
68', Drame O. 🟨,
68', Musa B. ↓, Nasr S. ↑,
68', Janaqi D. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
69', Ibrahim A. ↓, Deliu A. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Charles B. ⚽,
79', Charles B. 🟨,
84', Totre E. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
84', Charles B. ↓, Velichkovski N. ↑,
84', Antovski F. ↓, Ifeanyi I. ↑,
84', Lleshi K. ↓, Wague M. ↑,
84', Nikaj A. ↓, Gjeli B. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group: )).

Skënderbeu is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by AF Elbasani have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

AF Elbasani is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Skënderbeu has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Skënderbeu against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Skenderbeu	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	1	5	2	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Skënderbeu Korçë - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian Super League
10.10.26	Teuta Durrës - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vora - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Dinamo City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- AF Elbasani
Albanian Super League
10.10.26	AF Elbasani - Vora	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Tirana - AF Elbasani	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dinamo City - AF Elbasani	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	AF Elbasani - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.03.26	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1
Albanian Super League
06.03.25	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:0
26.10.24	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1
19.08.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - AF Elbasani	1:1

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