Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Sleipner		Nacka FC

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	4.75
	1.66	3.70	3.80
	1.44	4.36	5.29
	1.54	4.34	4.79	Watch
	1.50	4.30	5.10
	1.55	4.33	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.77)	4.19 ↑ (3.55)	4.77 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sleipner
59.3%

Draw
21.7%

Nacka FC
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sleipner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sleipner's performance.

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacka FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sleipner than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sleipner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sleipner - Nacka FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Sleipner has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nacka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sleipner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sleipner is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sleipner will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sleipner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sleipner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sleipner	24	13	6	5	49:36	13	45
12	Nacka FC	24	7	3	14	26:45	-19	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sleipner
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
05.09.26	Örebro Syrianska - Sleipner	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sleipner - Eker Örebro	7:1 ✺
22.08.26	Rågsved - Sleipner	0:4 ✺
13.08.26	Sleipner - Lindö	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Sleipner - Karlslund	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Farsta - Nacka FC	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Forward - Nacka FC	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nacka FC - Örebro Syrianska	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Nacka FC - Lindö	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
25.04.26	Nacka FC - Sleipner	1:2
11.08.23	Sleipner - Nacka FC	2:1
14.04.23	Nacka FC - Sleipner	2:1

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