Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 8

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Sleipner		Smedby

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.75	2.92
	1.83	3.73	3.23
	1.91	3.84	3.30	Watch
	2.1	3.76	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	3.06 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sleipner
46%

Draw
24.2%

Smedby
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

24.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

23.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sleipner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sleipner than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sleipner - Smedby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Matic O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Gren J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sleipner won 4.

Sleipner has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smedby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sleipner could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sleipner won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sleipner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sleipner	24	13	6	5	49:36	13	45
7	Smedby	24	10	6	8	41:33	8	36

Last Results with these Odds

Smedby - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sleipner
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
07.05.26	Sleipner - Syrianska	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Lindö - Sleipner	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Nacka FC - Sleipner	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sleipner - Forward	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Fittja - Sleipner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
09.05.26	Smedby - Rågsved	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Fittja - Smedby	5:3 ✺
25.04.26	Smedby - Karlslund	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Smedby - Nacka FC	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Forward - Smedby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
05.09.25	Smedby - Sleipner	1:2
20.09.24	Smedby - Sleipner	2:2
26.05.24	Sleipner - Smedby	1:0
27.08.23	Sleipner - Smedby	3:2
29.04.23	Smedby - Sleipner	0:2
25.09.22	Smedby - Sleipner	3:1
26.05.22	Sleipner - Smedby	1:3

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